Expected goals on target (xGOT) values a shot after it has been struck: how likely it was to go in, given where it was heading in the goal.
What xGOT measures
xG judges a chance before the ball is struck. xGOT judges the shot after it: only shots on target count, and each is valued by where it was going. A shot into the top corner is worth far more than one straight at the goalkeeper from the same spot. A shot that misses the target has an xGOT of zero.
How to read it
- For a shooter, xGOT against xG shows finishing quality. A player whose xGOT is higher than their xG is placing shots better than an average player would from the same chances.
- For a goalkeeper, the xGOT of the shots they faced (xGOT faced) is how many goals an average keeper would have conceded from them. Compare it with the goals actually let in: see goals prevented.
What it can't tell you
- It ignores shots off target, so it says nothing about how often a player misses.
- Like xG, it comes from a model, and different providers' models differ.
xGOT on PLStats
PLStats does not calculate xGOT itself: the figures come from our data source, Flashscore, and its provider's model, as published. They cover 2024-25 onwards.
Figures on PLStats come from Flashscore and are shown as supplied. About our data